AUD/JPY AI Market Analysis & Live Rates

• Daily candle bias bearish: lower highs & lower lows · shooting star / long upper wick rejection · last candle bearish · close 19% of range
• Daily candles: bearish candle, shooting star / long upper wick rejection, lower highs & lower lows, close 19% of range, 5 consecutive down candles
• Confidence 90/100 from the daily candlestick read alone
• Key daily levels: Support 109.670, Resistance 114.962
• Break & retest plan: watching at 109.670 — retest AOI 109.400 - 109.670, trigger Bearish engulfing or rejection candle at the AOI retest following a daily close below 109.670

AUD/JPY remains heavily biased to the downside following five consecutive negative daily closes and a shooting star wick rejection. Broad risk-off flows and yen strengthening continue to pressure the pair toward major support at 109.670.

Technical picture

The daily trend is strongly bearish with five consecutive down candles forming lower highs and lower lows. Downside momentum is powerful as the candle closed at 19% of its daily range after a shooting star rejection. Key daily levels: Support 109.670, Resistance 114.962 | Daily candles: lower highs & lower lows, shooting star / long upper wick rejection; weekly candles higher highs & higher lows (context only); 4H candles lower highs & lower lows (context only) | Break & retest: watching bearish break at 109.670, retest zone 109.400 - 109.670, invalidation 112.450 | Rules require standing aside because no break and retest of the daily support level at 109.670 has taken place yet. A valid entry requires a daily close below 109.670 followed by an AOI retest with confirmation.

Macro drivers

Unwinding carry trade sentiment and broader global equity volatility continue to channel funds into the safe-haven Japanese Yen. Australia's recent economic indicators have lacked the hawkish momentum required to offset RBA rate pause expectations. Meanwhile, BOJ policy normalization speculation provides persistent structural tailwinds for the Yen.

Educational market commentary, not financial advice.